Morgan Stanley India Strategy: Even though the market has seen a huge decline in recent times, Morgan Stanley has full confidence in India. He has given a target of 1 lakh for Sensex by the end of this year. Morgan Stanley has presented a positive report regarding the Indian market. This leading brokerage sees opportunities in the financial, tech and industrial sectors. At the same time, it appears underweight on energy and healthcare. Let us see what is there in this report and in which stocks and sectors it is advising to place bets.
Morgan Stanley says that the level of 93,000 can be achieved in the base case by the end of this year. Whereas, in bull case it can touch the level of 1,05,000. Whereas in bear case it can be around 70,000.
Morgan Stanley: Why trust India?
Morgan Stanley is of the opinion that in the base case scenario, India will benefit from fiscal consolidation, increasing private investment and strong domestic growth. There is no danger of recession in the US. Reduction in interest rates is expected. In such a situation, there is a possibility of Sensex earning 17 percent annually by the financial year 2027. At the same time, in the bull case, reduction in inflation, reduction in inflation, rate cut, improvement in FIIs flow, end of Ukraine-Russia war and major decisions of reform, with Brent crude below 70 dollars, 20 percent increase in earnings is expected annually till FY 2027. It is visible.
Morgan Stanley: Threats looming over India
Morgan Stanley says there are some risks for Indian markets in 2025. In the bear case picture, crude may cross $110. RBI’s strictness may increase. There may be a slowdown in global growth and a recession in the US. In this situation, an annual growth of 15 percent may be seen in Sensex earnings for the financial year 2024-26.
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Morgan Stanley: To whom ‘yes’ and to whom ‘no’
Morgan Stanley is overweight on financials, consumer discretionary, industrials and technology stocks. At the same time, there is underweight on Telecom, Consumer Staples, Energy, Healthcare, Utility and Materials.
Morgan Stanley: He shows strength
Morgan Stanley sees earnings opportunities in 2025 in BrainBiz Solutions, Maruti Suzuki, Trent, RIL, ICICI Bank, SBI Life, HAL, L&T, Infosys and UltraTech.
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